CAT researchOverviewEURUSDGBPUSDXAUUSDGBPCADEURCADAUDJPYGBPJPYResearch notes

Secondary 15m run of the v4 (XAUUSD arm bias) variant; header, criteria and verdict in 2026-09-06-entry5m-v4-xau-arm-screen.md. Verdict: FAIL; NOT judged beyond that.

entry5m screen tf=15m stop_mode=h1_extreme target_mode=fixed_r target_r=3.0 bias_source=arm symbols=XAUUSD

  symbol      n    win%      netR     expR      PF    exPF      ddR     month   share%       h1R       h2R    bars  verdict
  XAUUSD    413    49.9     -30.7   -0.074    0.81    0.76     37.0   2022-08        -     -10.5     -20.1    23.3     FAIL

bias / pullback funnel:
  XAUUSD   biases=373  biases_RDIV=0  biases_HDIV=0  biases_ARM=373  bias_end_target=0  bias_end_contradiction=0  bias_end_timeout=0  bias_end_replaced=0  bias_end_range_end=373  bias_no_target=17  pullbacks_too_short=817  pullbacks_qualifying=2185  rr_rejected=0  already_broken=290  skipped_in_position=627  orders_placed=1268  cancel_extreme_taken=493  cancel_expired=0  cancel_bias_end=19  cancel_replaced=343  filled=413  target_beyond_zero_touch=0

  FAIL  group usd (EURUSD, GBPUSD)
  FAIL  group metal (XAUUSD)
  FAIL  group jpy (EURJPY)
  FAIL  overall: 0 of 3 groups (need 2)