CAT researchOverviewEURUSDGBPUSDXAUUSDGBPCADEURCADAUDJPYGBPJPYResearch notes

Secondary 15m run of the v3 (fixed 3R target, H1-extreme stop) variant; header, criteria and verdict in 2026-09-06-entry5m-v3-fixed3r-screen.md. Verdict: FAIL, 0 of 3 groups; NOT judged beyond that.

entry5m screen tf=15m stop_mode=h1_extreme target_mode=fixed_r target_r=3.0 symbols=EURUSD,GBPUSD,XAUUSD,EURJPY

  symbol      n    win%      netR     expR      PF    exPF      ddR     month   share%       h1R       h2R    bars  verdict
  EURJPY    208    37.5     -10.8   -0.052    0.92    0.85     35.1   2021-10        -       6.5     -17.3    68.1     FAIL
  EURUSD    252    41.7      14.3    0.057    1.10    1.04     18.7   2024-06     70.7       4.3      10.0    58.5     FAIL
  GBPUSD    239    36.8      -3.0   -0.012    0.98    0.92     35.2   2022-12        -       9.2     -12.1    63.3     FAIL
  XAUUSD    214    36.0     -28.0   -0.131    0.80    0.73     40.1   2022-10        -       5.5     -33.6    55.5     FAIL

bias / pullback funnel:
  EURJPY   biases=172  biases_RDIV=162  biases_HDIV=10  bias_end_target=84  bias_end_contradiction=35  bias_end_timeout=29  bias_end_replaced=24  bias_no_target=0  pullbacks_too_short=819  pullbacks_qualifying=2076  rr_rejected=282  already_broken=170  skipped_in_position=933  orders_placed=691  cancel_extreme_taken=341  cancel_expired=0  cancel_bias_end=5  cancel_replaced=137  filled=208  target_beyond_zero_touch=425
  EURUSD   biases=235  biases_RDIV=225  biases_HDIV=10  bias_end_target=120  bias_end_contradiction=50  bias_end_timeout=28  bias_end_replaced=37  bias_no_target=0  pullbacks_too_short=788  pullbacks_qualifying=2137  rr_rejected=260  already_broken=174  skipped_in_position=934  orders_placed=769  cancel_extreme_taken=319  cancel_expired=6  cancel_bias_end=2  cancel_replaced=190  filled=252  target_beyond_zero_touch=507
  GBPUSD   biases=185  biases_RDIV=179  biases_HDIV=6  bias_end_target=87  bias_end_contradiction=35  bias_end_timeout=33  bias_end_replaced=30  bias_no_target=0  pullbacks_too_short=812  pullbacks_qualifying=2176  rr_rejected=324  already_broken=155  skipped_in_position=979  orders_placed=718  cancel_extreme_taken=323  cancel_expired=1  cancel_bias_end=2  cancel_replaced=153  filled=239  target_beyond_zero_touch=428
  XAUUSD   biases=171  biases_RDIV=167  biases_HDIV=4  bias_end_target=83  bias_end_contradiction=35  bias_end_timeout=26  bias_end_replaced=27  bias_no_target=0  pullbacks_too_short=677  pullbacks_qualifying=1961  rr_rejected=346  already_broken=163  skipped_in_position=792  orders_placed=660  cancel_extreme_taken=283  cancel_expired=0  cancel_bias_end=1  cancel_replaced=162  filled=214  target_beyond_zero_touch=397

  FAIL  group usd (EURUSD, GBPUSD)
  FAIL  group metal (XAUUSD)
  FAIL  group jpy (EURJPY)
  FAIL  overall: 0 of 3 groups (need 2)